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Dollar Shorts Return as Market Bets on September Rate Cut and Fed Independence Pressured

Summary: According to sources, Monex USA trading director Helen Given reported that dollar shorts made a strong comeback today, mainly influenced by Powell's speech at Jackson Hole and Trump's threat to fire Fed board member Koch. Powell highlighted the increasing weight of downside risks in the job market in Fed decisions, leading to a significant rise ...

According to sources, Monex USA trading director Helen Given reported that dollar shorts made a strong comeback today, mainly influenced by Powell's speech at Jackson Hole and Trump's threat to fire Fed board member Koch. Powell highlighted the increasing weight of downside risks in the job market in Fed decisions, leading to a significant rise in market expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut in September. Traders believe there is also a possibility of another rate cut later this year, with overnight swap markets betting for significant easing in the first half of 2026. Trump's comments have raised concerns about the Fed's independence.

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