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Polymarket predicts 42% probability of Musk creating new political party by end of year
Summary: According to official data from Polymarket, the probability of Elon Musk creating a new political party by the end of this year is reported at 42%; Kalshi currently predicts a 35% probability of Musk creating a new political party within the year. Musk previously stated on July 1 that if the 'beautiful big bill' is ...
According to official data from Polymarket, the probability of Elon Musk creating a new political party by the end of this year is reported at 42%; Kalshi currently predicts a 35% probability of Musk creating a new political party within the year. Musk previously stated on July 1 that if the 'beautiful big bill' is passed, a new American political party would be established the next day. Trump's 'beautiful big bill' was passed by the House of Representatives this morning and will be signed at 5 am on Saturday. Additionally, Musk initiated a poll on social media on June 6 asking if it is time to create a new political party in the US that truly represents the middle 80% group. The poll had 5,630,775 participants, with 80.4% supporting the idea.
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Link: Polymarket predicts 42% probability of Musk creating new political party by end of year [Copy]
