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Probability of 25 Basis Point Rate Cut in July FOMC Meeting Only 2.6%

Summary: According to CME FedWatch data, with 5 days left until this month's FOMC meeting, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in July is only 2.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 97.4%. The probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged until September is 37.9%, with a cumulative 25 basis point ...

According to CME FedWatch data, with 5 days left until this month's FOMC meeting, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in July is only 2.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 97.4%.

The probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged until September is 37.9%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut probability at 60.5% and a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut probability at 1.6%.

The next two FOMC meeting dates are July 30 (July 31 Thursday 2:00 AM Beijing time) and September 17.

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