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Deutsche Bank: ECB's Loose Monetary Policy Cycle Has Ended, Next Step is Rate Hike

Summary: According to Jin10, Deutsche Bank now believes that the European Central Bank has ended its loose monetary policy cycle. Previously, Deutsche Bank expected the ECB to cut rates again in September and projected a terminal rate of 1.50% (currently at 2%). However, they also noted that the risk of the ECB's loose policy cycle stopping ...

According to Jin10, Deutsche Bank now believes that the European Central Bank has ended its loose monetary policy cycle. Previously, Deutsche Bank expected the ECB to cut rates again in September and projected a terminal rate of 1.50% (currently at 2%). However, they also noted that the risk of the ECB's loose policy cycle stopping at 1.75% or even 2.00% should not be ignored. Therefore, it seems that the situation is now as such. Deutsche Bank now believes that the ECB's next step is a rate hike, but this is not expected to happen until the end of 2026.

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