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Probability of Fed Continuing Interest Rate Cuts in January at 24.4%, Cumulative 50 Basis Points Cut by March at 8.1%

Summary: According to CME FedWatch data, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 24.4%, with a 75.6% probability of keeping rates unchanged. The probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged until March next year is 50.5%, with a 41.4% probability of a cumulative 25 basis points ...

According to CME FedWatch data, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 24.4%, with a 75.6% probability of keeping rates unchanged.

The probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged until March next year is 50.5%, with a 41.4% probability of a cumulative 25 basis points cut, and an 8.1% probability of a cumulative 50 basis points cut.

The next two FOMC meeting dates for the Fed are January 28, 2026, and March 18, 2026.

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Link: Probability of Fed Continuing Interest Rate Cuts in January at 24.4%, Cumulative 50 Basis Points Cut by March at 8.1%   [Copy]
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