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Matrixport: Bitcoin Continues to Fall, Market Sentiment Cautious

Summary: Matrixport released its latest weekly report, stating that Bitcoin has been on a downward trend since mid-October 2025, leading to cautious market sentiment. With the resurgence of the 'four-year cycle' theory, most traders expect Bitcoin to remain under pressure in 2026. Key observations include Bitcoin facing pressure in a low volatility, deleveraging, and risk-averse environment ...

Matrixport released its latest weekly report, stating that Bitcoin has been on a downward trend since mid-October 2025, leading to cautious market sentiment. With the resurgence of the 'four-year cycle' theory, most traders expect Bitcoin to remain under pressure in 2026. Key observations include Bitcoin facing pressure in a low volatility, deleveraging, and risk-averse environment in recent months. Changes in market positions have been noted in derivatives, ETFs, and technical indicators. The upcoming largest-ever Bitcoin options expiration will be a crucial indicator of market pressure and opportunities. Market outlook: Year-end markets tend to be conservative with decreased risk appetite. After the new year, as funds reallocate and risk budgets recover, market sentiment may accelerate reversal. The technical structure shows a slowdown in downward momentum, but there is no clear consensus on an upward trend yet, shifting the market from 'downside risk prevailing' to 'downside limited, upside still needs catalysts' stage. Current Bitcoin prices and weekly stochastic indicators suggest the market may have entered oversold territory, with the stochastic indicator dropping to 17% level.

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