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Analysis: January may become a new turning point in Bitcoin's four-year cycle, structural divergence in historical patterns emerging

Summary: Amid speculation, the validity of Bitcoin's four-year cycle has once again become a major topic within the ecosystem. Some believe the cycle may not extend to 2026 due to ETFs absorbing $57 billion in inflows, while others argue the cycle remains intact so far, with historical patterns showing coincidental timing. For example, the recent local ...

Amid speculation, the validity of Bitcoin's four-year cycle has once again become a major topic within the ecosystem. Some believe the cycle may not extend to 2026 due to ETFs absorbing $57 billion in inflows, while others argue the cycle remains intact so far, with historical patterns showing coincidental timing. For example, the recent local bottom for Bitcoin occurred on November 21, 2025, at a price of $80,524, mirroring the previous cycle's low point on November 21, 2022, at $15,460 - both dates aligning perfectly. Market attention has now shifted to January 2026, as a US crypto market structure bill is set for a hearing on January 15, seen as a potential significant turning point in the current Bitcoin cycle. (CoinDesk)

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