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Probability of Fed Maintaining Interest Rates in January at 95% Before CPI Release

Summary: According to CME's 'FedWatch', the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 5.0%, while the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 95.0%. By March next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 24.3%, maintaining interest rates unchanged is 74.6%, and ...

According to CME's 'FedWatch', the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 5.0%, while the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 95.0%. By March next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 24.3%, maintaining interest rates unchanged is 74.6%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 1.1%.

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